---
excalidraw-plugin: parsed
tags: [excalidraw, quants, capability-map, decision-judgment]
---
==⚠  Switch to EXCALIDRAW VIEW in the MORE OPTIONS menu of this document. ⚠==

# Excalidraw Data

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量化策略生命周期与双反馈闭环：上线只是中点，退役与归档才是完整终点 ^t001

策略的一生必须有状态、有闸门、有证据；运行结果既反馈到研究，也反馈到资本分配和策略库。 ^t002

G0 ^t005

想法 / 假设 ^t006

问题、机制、预期边界
禁止先看结果再编故事 ^t007

输出：hypothesis.md ^t008

G1 ^t012

数据与研究 ^t013

数据可得性、PIT 口径
基线、探索、反例 ^t014

输出：dataset + notebook ^t015

G2 ^t019

原型 ^t020

最小规则 / OLS / 因子
先做可解释基线 ^t021

输出：baseline code ^t022

G3 ^t026

回测 ^t027

时间切分、成本、风险
暴露、换手、极端期 ^t028

输出：backtest report ^t029

G4 ^t033

独立验证 ^t034

泄漏 / 幸存者偏差
walk-forward / 稳健性 ^t035

输出：validation memo ^t036

G9 ^t039

维护 / 暂停 / 退役 ^t040

继续、修复、降权、停机
归档原因与全部版本 ^t041

输出：lifecycle decision ^t042

G8 ^t045

监控与归因 ^t046

PnL、Beta/行业/风格
成本、执行偏差、漂移 ^t047

输出：attribution memo ^t048

G7 ^t052

受控放量 ^t053

容量、相关性、市场冲击
分阶段资本上限 ^t054

输出：allocation decision ^t055

G6 ^t059

小资金实盘 ^t060

真实订单、成交、费用
三账对账、恢复演练 ^t061

输出：live evidence ^t062

G5 ^t066

模拟盘 ^t067

连续运行、告警、重放
无重复订单与幽灵仓位 ^t068

输出：paper evidence ^t069

研究反馈：归因 / 漂移 / 成本 / 执行证据 → 回到数据与研究 ^t073

治理反馈：继续 / 降权 / 暂停 / 退役 → 更新资本分配与策略库 ^t075

必须停止或退回上一阶段的信号 ^t077

数据口径无效｜样本外无增量｜成本吃掉收益｜暴露超预算｜执行偏差不可解释｜容量不足｜漂移或回撤触发条件｜无法对账或恢复 ^t078

Cash 当前 ^t080

研究工程较成熟；S02/S07/S16 已到模拟入口
但 G5 连续运行与 G6 券商小额验收尚未通过 ^t081

Beta 当前 ^t083

主要停在资本政策与研究设计之前
尚无目标权重、再平衡、压测和持续模拟 ^t084

Alpha 当前 ^t086

处在 G1–G2 入口：理解回归与损失
尚无 PIT 股票池、因子基线和样本外验证 ^t087

生命周期的意义：不是把流程画长，而是让任何策略在任何时刻都有清晰状态、下一闸门、停止条件和可审计证据。 ^t088

%%
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%%